QB TB
Week 3 · PPR
Start or sit Baker Mayfield?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Borderline
#27 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.
Borderline call: Baker Mayfield projects for 13.2 PPR points this week, ranked #27 among QBs by our projection model. vs MIN is a tough matchup for QBs — the model applies a -15% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 44.5 — 98% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 18.4 |
| 2 | 13.5 |
| 3 this week | 13.2 |
| 4 | 15.2 |
| 5 | 19.1 |
| 6 | 17.2 |
| 7 | 14.2 |
| 8 | 15.8 |
| 9 | 16.6 |
| 10 | — |
| 11 | 16.7 |
| 12 | 14.1 |
| 13 | 13.5 |
| 14 | 16.4 |
| 15 | 14.3 |
| 16 | 15.8 |
| 17 | 15.7 |
| 18 | 14.3 |