WR SF Week 3 · PPR

Start or sit Deebo Samuel?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Borderline

#43 WR projection — on the borderline of the ~34 started in 12-team leagues.

Borderline call: Deebo Samuel projects for 7.7 PPR points this week, ranked #43 among WRs by our projection model. vs ARI is a tough matchup for WRs — the model applies a -2% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 46.5 — 102% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Deebo Samuel projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 8.0
2 7.6
3 this week 7.7
4 7.2
5 6.9
6 8.8
7 8.5
8 —
9 8.2
10 8.9
11 6.6
12 6.8
13 8.3
14 7.7
15 7.3
16 7.3
17 6.9
18 7.6

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