TE DAL
Week 3 · PPR
Start or sit Jake Ferguson?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Start
#9 TE projection this week — comfortable start.
Start call: Jake Ferguson projects for 10.2 PPR points this week, ranked #9 among TEs by our projection model. vs BAL is a tough matchup for TEs — the model applies a -9% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 51.5 — 113% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 10.2 |
| 2 | 12.5 |
| 3 this week | 10.2 |
| 4 | 10.3 |
| 5 | 12.3 |
| 6 | 10.6 |
| 7 | 9.1 |
| 8 | 12.1 |
| 9 | 11.5 |
| 10 | 11.4 |
| 11 | 11.1 |
| 12 | 9.2 |
| 13 | 11.2 |
| 14 | — |
| 15 | 10.6 |
| 16 | 11.3 |
| 17 | 9.8 |
| 18 | 11.8 |