WR HOU
Week 4 · PPR
Start or sit Jaylin Noel?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Sit
WR88 — below the ~34 started in 12-team leagues.
Sit call: Jaylin Noel projects for 1.2 PPR points this week, ranked #88 among WRs by our projection model. vs DAL is a soft matchup for WRs — the model applies a +15% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 47.5 — 102% of the 46.6 league average for week 4.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 1.2 |
| 4 this week | 1.2 |
| 5 | 1.1 |
| 6 | 1.0 |
| 7 | 1.1 |
| 8 | — |
| 9 | 1.0 |
| 10 | 1.0 |
| 11 | 1.2 |
| 12 | 1.2 |
| 13 | 1.1 |
| 14 | 1.1 |
| 15 | 1.0 |
| 16 | 0.9 |
| 17 | 1.1 |
| 18 | 1.2 |