QB MIN
Week 3 · PPR
Start or sit J.J. McCarthy?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Sit
QB38 — below the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.
Sit call: J.J. McCarthy projects for 4.1 PPR points this week, ranked #38 among QBs by our projection model. @TB is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +12% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 44.5 — 98% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 3.5 |
| 2 | 3.9 |
| 3 this week | 4.1 |
| 4 | 3.8 |
| 5 | 3.2 |
| 6 | — |
| 7 | 3.8 |
| 8 | 3.9 |
| 9 | 3.2 |
| 10 | 3.5 |
| 11 | 3.8 |
| 12 | 3.7 |
| 13 | 3.3 |
| 14 | 3.5 |
| 15 | 3.9 |
| 16 | 4.1 |
| 17 | 4.2 |
| 18 | 3.9 |