WR IND
Week 4 · PPR
Start or sit Josh Downs?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Sit
WR58 — below the ~34 started in 12-team leagues.
Sit call: Josh Downs projects for 6.0 PPR points this week, ranked #58 among WRs by our projection model. @WAS is a soft matchup for WRs — the model applies a +8% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 50.5 — 108% of the 46.6 league average for week 4.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 6.3 |
| 2 | 5.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 |
| 4 this week | 6.0 |
| 5 | 5.9 |
| 6 | 6.1 |
| 7 | 4.6 |
| 8 | 5.4 |
| 9 | 6.1 |
| 10 | 5.2 |
| 11 | 4.6 |
| 12 | 5.7 |
| 13 | — |
| 14 | 4.8 |
| 15 | 6.0 |
| 16 | 4.6 |
| 17 | 4.9 |
| 18 | 5.4 |