QB LAR Week 3 · PPR

Start or sit Matthew Stafford?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Borderline

#22 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.

Borderline call: Matthew Stafford projects for 14.8 PPR points this week, ranked #22 among QBs by our projection model. @DEN is a tough matchup for QBs — the model applies a -7% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 45.5 — 100% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Matthew Stafford projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 17.1
2 17.9
3 this week 14.8
4 15.1
5 15.0
6 16.6
7 15.9
8 13.8
9 18.1
10 16.4
11
12 15.3
13 15.5
14 16.5
15 18.4
16 14.9
17 17.9
18 14.7

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