QB SEA Questionable Week 3 · PPR

Start or sit Sam Darnold?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Borderline

#20 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.

Borderline call: Sam Darnold projects for 15.2 PPR points this week, ranked #20 among QBs by our projection model. @WAS is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +13% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 46.5 — 102% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Sam Darnold projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 12.5
2 13.5
3 this week 15.2
4 11.3
5 14.0
6 12.0
7 12.9
8 14.0
9 13.7
10 13.3
11
12 13.8
13 15.3
14 14.4
15 12.5
16 13.5
17 12.0
18 13.3

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