QB JAX
Week 3 · PPR
Start or sit Trevor Lawrence?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Start
#8 QB projection this week — comfortable start.
Start call: Trevor Lawrence projects for 16.7 PPR points this week, ranked #8 among QBs by our projection model. vs NE is a tough matchup for QBs — the model applies a -5% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 45.5 — 100% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 14.9 |
| 2 | 16.0 |
| 3 this week | 16.7 |
| 4 | 20.3 |
| 5 | 16.3 |
| 6 | 14.8 |
| 7 | — |
| 8 | 18.0 |
| 9 | 18.5 |
| 10 | 19.7 |
| 11 | 19.1 |
| 12 | 19.7 |
| 13 | 18.6 |
| 14 | 19.5 |
| 15 | 15.4 |
| 16 | 20.3 |
| 17 | 20.0 |
| 18 | 18.0 |