RB ARI
Week 3 · PPR
Start or sit Tyler Allgeier?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Sit
RB46 — below the ~28 started in 12-team leagues.
Sit call: Tyler Allgeier projects for 4.9 PPR points this week, ranked #46 among RBs by our projection model. @SF is a soft matchup for RBs — the model applies a +6% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 46.5 — 102% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 4.1 |
| 2 | 3.9 |
| 3 this week | 4.9 |
| 4 | 5.1 |
| 5 | 4.2 |
| 6 | 4.7 |
| 7 | 3.9 |
| 8 | 5.0 |
| 9 | 4.0 |
| 10 | 4.6 |
| 11 | 4.1 |
| 12 | 5.1 |
| 13 | 4.8 |
| 14 | — |
| 15 | 5.2 |
| 16 | 4.4 |
| 17 | 4.8 |
| 18 | 4.9 |