RB KC Week 4 · PPR

Start or sit Brashard Smith?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Sit

RB72 — below the ~28 started in 12-team leagues.

Sit call: Brashard Smith projects for 1.1 PPR points this week, ranked #72 among RBs by our projection model. @LV is a soft matchup for RBs — the model applies a +4% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 43.5 — 93% of the 46.6 league average for week 4.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Brashard Smith projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 0.9
2 1.0
3 1.2
4 this week 1.1
5 —
6 0.9
7 0.9
8 0.9
9 1.2
10 1.1
11 1.2
12 1.2
13 1.1
14 1.2
15 0.9
16 1.1
17 0.9
18 1.1

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