RB SF
Week 4 · PPR
Start or sit Kaelon Black?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Sit
RB63 — below the ~28 started in 12-team leagues.
Sit call: Kaelon Black projects for 3.2 PPR points this week, ranked #63 among RBs by our projection model. vs DEN is a tough matchup for RBs — the model applies a -15% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 46.5 — 100% of the 46.6 league average for week 4.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 3.9 |
| 2 | 4.2 |
| 3 | 4.4 |
| 4 this week | 3.2 |
| 5 | 3.4 |
| 6 | 4.4 |
| 7 | 3.9 |
| 8 | — |
| 9 | 4.0 |
| 10 | 4.2 |
| 11 | 3.5 |
| 12 | 3.3 |
| 13 | 4.3 |
| 14 | 3.8 |
| 15 | 3.4 |
| 16 | 3.4 |
| 17 | 3.9 |
| 18 | 4.3 |