QB IND Week 3 · PPR

Start or sit Daniel Jones?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Borderline

#28 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.

Borderline call: Daniel Jones projects for 13.1 PPR points this week, ranked #28 among QBs by our projection model. vs HOU is a tough matchup for QBs — the model applies a -13% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 45.5 — 100% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Daniel Jones projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 16.3
2 14.9
3 this week 13.1
4 17.8
5 16.7
6 17.0
7 13.1
8 14.9
9 17.4
10 16.2
11 13.1
12 16.3
13
14 14.1
15 16.8
16 16.5
17 13.4
18 14.9

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