QB DET Week 3 · PPR

Start or sit Jared Goff?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Start

#14 QB projection this week — comfortable start.

Start call: Jared Goff projects for 15.7 PPR points this week, ranked #14 among QBs by our projection model. vs NYJ is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +14% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 45.5 — 100% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Jared Goff projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 13.1
2 13.1
3 this week 15.7
4 12.5
5 14.3
6
7 13.2
8 11.7
9 14.8
10 13.1
11 15.5
12 15.3
13 13.9
14 15.3
15 11.7
16 14.9
17 14.5
18 13.2

More on Jared Goff

Adjacent QB verdicts