QB ARI
Week 3 · PPR
Start or sit Carson Beck?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Sit
QB37 — below the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.
Sit call: Carson Beck projects for 4.2 PPR points this week, ranked #37 among QBs by our projection model. @SF is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +3% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 46.5 — 102% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 3.5 |
| 2 | 3.7 |
| 3 this week | 4.2 |
| 4 | 4.3 |
| 5 | 4.4 |
| 6 | 4.1 |
| 7 | 3.8 |
| 8 | 4.7 |
| 9 | 3.7 |
| 10 | 4.0 |
| 11 | 3.9 |
| 12 | 4.6 |
| 13 | 3.8 |
| 14 | — |
| 15 | 4.6 |
| 16 | 3.7 |
| 17 | 4.0 |
| 18 | 4.2 |