QB NYJ
Week 3 · PPR
Start or sit Geno Smith?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Borderline
#23 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.
Borderline call: Geno Smith projects for 14.7 PPR points this week, ranked #23 among QBs by our projection model. @DET is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +6% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 45.5 — 100% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 14.2 |
| 2 | 12.8 |
| 3 this week | 14.7 |
| 4 | 14.4 |
| 5 | 11.3 |
| 6 | 12.6 |
| 7 | 14.3 |
| 8 | 13.7 |
| 9 | 13.3 |
| 10 | 12.1 |
| 11 | 11.9 |
| 12 | 14.8 |
| 13 | — |
| 14 | 12.8 |
| 15 | 14.1 |
| 16 | 13.1 |
| 17 | 11.7 |
| 18 | 12.1 |