QB CLE
Week 3 · PPR
Start or sit Deshaun Watson?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Borderline
#29 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.
Borderline call: Deshaun Watson projects for 12.9 PPR points this week, ranked #29 among QBs by our projection model. vs CAR is a tough matchup for QBs — the model applies a -10% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 39.5 — 87% of the 45.6 league average for week 3.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 14.4 |
| 2 | 16.7 |
| 3 this week | 12.9 |
| 4 | 15.9 |
| 5 | 16.1 |
| 6 | 15.8 |
| 7 | 17.1 |
| 8 | 17.0 |
| 9 | 14.0 |
| 10 | 13.4 |
| 11 | — |
| 12 | 15.3 |
| 13 | 16.8 |
| 14 | 15.5 |
| 15 | 16.7 |
| 16 | 16.1 |
| 17 | 15.7 |
| 18 | 16.8 |